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Israeli Intelligence Knew of Hamas’s Attack Plan Over a Year Ago

In a revelation that has shocked the Israeli defense establishment, it has been uncovered that Israeli officials had prior knowledge of Hamas’s comprehensive plan for the October 7th terrorist attack but failed to act on it, underestimating the group’s capabilities.

The Ignored Blueprint: The approximately 40-page document, known as “Jericho Wall,” was in the hands of Israeli authorities more than a year before the attack. It detailed a systematic invasion strategy, including rocket barrages, drone attacks, and a mass invasion, which Hamas executed with alarming accuracy.

Underestimation of Capabilities: Despite the detailed nature of the plan, Israeli military and intelligence officials deemed it too ambitious for Hamas to execute. This assessment led to a significant underestimation of the threat, resulting in the deadliest day in Israel’s history, with about 1,200 people killed.

Missed Warnings: The document included sensitive information about Israeli military forces and key locations, raising concerns about potential leaks within the Israeli security establishment. Despite circulating widely among military and intelligence leaders, the plan was not taken seriously enough to prompt preventive measures.

Historical Parallels: This oversight is now being compared to the intelligence failures of the 1973 Arab-Israeli war and the 9/11 attacks in the United States. The failure to recognize the feasibility of the Hamas attack plan represents a significant lapse in Israeli intelligence.

Government Response: In light of this revelation, the Israeli government is expected to form a commission to investigate the events leading up to the October 7th attacks. The discovery of the Jericho Wall document underscores a series of misjudgments that culminated in a catastrophic day for Israel.

Looking Forward: The Israeli military and the Israeli Security Agency have not commented on the matter. However, this incident has prompted a reevaluation of intelligence assessments and procedures to prevent such oversights in the future.

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